Live odds

Prediction Markets by Category

The most-traded markets on Kalshi and Gemini right now. A price in cents is the market's probability: a 62¢ contract means traders put the odds at about 62%.

Prices as of . Refreshes every few minutes.

MarketLeading outcomePrice24h volumeClosesTrade
2028 Democratic presidential nominee48 outcomesHunter Biden5000¢5000% implied25.4M contractsTrade on Kalshi
2028 Republican presidential nominee39 outcomesNikki Haley5000¢5000% implied15.9M contractsTrade on Kalshi
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?31 outcomesStephen A. Smith5000¢5000% implied5.1M contractsTrade on Kalshi
2028 Democratic VP nominee45 outcomesMark Cuban5000¢5000% implied1.8M contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?54 outcomesSage Steele5000¢5000% implied1.3M contractsTrade on Kalshi
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?8 outcomesCuba500¢500% implied742K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?41 outcomesStuart Kyle Duncan5000¢5000% implied599K contractsTrade on Kalshi
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?8 outcomes$0 / No Acquisition9100¢9100% implied536K contractsTrade on Kalshi
MarketLeading outcomePrice24h volumeClosesTrade
Will Scottie Scheffler win the grand slam before 2028?Before 2028600¢600% implied676K contractsTrade on Kalshi
2030 FIFA World Cup Champion82 outcomesIreland5000¢5000% implied205K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Miami Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 20304 outcomes1+ championships4500¢4500% implied78K contractsTrade on Kalshi
2028 UEFA Euros Champion30 outcomesSpain2300¢2300% implied46K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Chicago Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 20304 outcomes1+ championships5600¢5600% implied39K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Chicago Pro Football Team: Relocation4 outcomesA new location in Illinois6600¢6600% implied28K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Roch Cholowsky: Debut Date12 outcomesBefore Nov 1, 20319300¢9300% implied24K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will a Seattle Pro Basketball team play a game before 2030?Before 20308100¢8100% implied23K contractsTrade on Kalshi
MarketLeading outcomePrice24h volumeClosesTrade
Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 20268 outcomesAbove 5609700¢9700% implied276K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?Before 20306000¢6000% implied95K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?Before 20302400¢2400% implied95K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 202613 outcomesAbove 97 million9900¢9900% implied87K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?Before 20303400¢3400% implied61K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?Before 20354600¢4600% implied56K contractsTrade on Kalshi
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?3 outcomesBefore 20405000¢5000% implied50K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Tesla total deliveries in 20269 outcomesAbove 1.5 million9800¢9800% implied50K contractsTrade on Kalshi
MarketLeading outcomePrice24h volumeClosesTrade
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?10 outcomesOil6400¢6400% implied95K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US meets its climate goals?2 outcomesBy 20301800¢1800% implied63K contractsTrade on Kalshi
8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?Before 20303100¢3100% implied45K contractsTrade on Kalshi
EV market share in 2030?4 outcomesAbove 10%8500¢8500% implied38K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?Before Jan 1, 20502900¢2900% implied35K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?Before 20353400¢3400% implied28K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?Before 20506700¢6700% implied21K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?3 outcomesBefore 20296400¢6400% implied373 contractsTrade on Kalshi
MarketLeading outcomePrice24h volumeClosesTrade
Oscar Winner: Best Picture41 outcomesThe Odyssey5000¢5000% implied1.6M contractsTrade on Kalshi
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond31 outcomesCallum Turner4700¢4700% implied761K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who Will Perform at Red Rocks in 2027?35 outcomesWidespread Panic8800¢8800% implied231K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who will headline Coachella 2027?116 outcomesDua Lipa8800¢8800% implied194K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027: Headliner20 outcomesTame Impala500¢500% implied189K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Top U.S. Selling Vinyl Album: 202628 outcomesARIRANG4500¢4500% implied161K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Top U.S. Selling Album (Physical and Digital Sales Combined): 202618 outcomesARIRANG7400¢7400% implied132K contractsTrade on Kalshi
New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners20 outcomesTrombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue7700¢7700% implied132K contractsTrade on Kalshi
MarketLeading outcomePrice24h volumeClosesTrade
US real GDP growth in 2035?14 outcomes1.6% to 2.0%1400¢1400% implied157K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2033?14 outcomes1.6% to 2.0%1400¢1400% implied157K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2036?14 outcomes1.6% to 2.0%2300¢2300% implied157K contractsTrade on Kalshi
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?By 20301600¢1600% implied130K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed decision in Dec 2027?5 outcomesFed maintains rate7500¢7500% implied127K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?25 outcomesAbove 4.00%8800¢8800% implied86K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2032?14 outcomes2.1% to 2.5%1500¢1500% implied79K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Kentucky coal production in 20276 outcomesAbove 20 million short tons8700¢8700% implied68K contractsTrade on Kalshi
MarketLeading outcomePrice24h volumeClosesTrade
MercadoLibre items sold in 202615 outcomesAbove 3 billion9900¢9900% implied77K contractsTrade on Kalshi
BTC price today at 10am EDT14 outcomes$82,800 or above8400¢8400% implied$35KTrade on Gemini
BTC price on October 717 outcomes$82,250 or above8600¢8600% implied$19KTrade on Gemini
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?2 outcomesBefore Jan 1, 20286700¢6700% implied11K contractsTrade on Kalshi
ZEC price on October 79 outcomes$1,260 or above9500¢9500% implied$7KTrade on Gemini
XRP price on October 710 outcomes$1.38 or above9600¢9600% implied$5KTrade on Gemini
ETH price on October 911 outcomes$2,480 or above8200¢8200% implied$4KTrade on Gemini
XRP price on October 318 outcomes$1.1 or above9000¢9000% implied$2KTrade on Gemini

Prices are the last traded price for the leading outcome. Kalshi volume is in contracts; Gemini volume in dollars. Not financial advice. See our methodology and the fee calculator before trading.