Temperature records, hurricanes, rainfall and climate policy. Prices are the market's probability in cents.
50 markets · prices as of . Refreshes every few minutes.
| Market | Leading outcome | Price | 24h volume | Closes | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?10 outcomes | Oil | 6400¢6400% implied | 95K contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| US meets its climate goals?2 outcomes | By 2030 | 1800¢1800% implied | 63K contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? | Before 2030 | 3100¢3100% implied | 45K contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| EV market share in 2030?4 outcomes | Above 10% | 8500¢8500% implied | 38K contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050? | Before Jan 1, 2050 | 2900¢2900% implied | 35K contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035? | Before 2035 | 3400¢3400% implied | 28K contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? | Before 2050 | 6700¢6700% implied | 21K contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?3 outcomes | Before 2029 | 6400¢6400% implied | 373 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028? | Before 2028 | 1400¢1400% implied | 98 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Highest temperature in Chicago on October 7, 2026?6 outcomes | 73°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $9 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Miami on October 7, 2026?6 outcomes | 89°F to 90°F | 6000¢6000% implied | $8 | Trade on Gemini | |
| India meets its 2030 climate goals? | By 2030 | 6600¢6600% implied | 4 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| EU meets its 2030 climate goals? | By 2030 | 4400¢4400% implied | 2 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Highest temperature in Albuquerque on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 75°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Anchorage on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 41°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 7, 2026?6 outcomes | 76°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Austin on October 7, 2026?6 outcomes | 84°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Birmingham on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 81°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Nashville on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 82°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Boston on October 7, 2026?6 outcomes | 60°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Buffalo on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 63°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Baltimore on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 67°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Cleveland on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 70°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Columbus on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 71°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Cincinnati on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 74°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Washington DC on October 7, 2026?6 outcomes | 69°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Denver on October 7, 2026?6 outcomes | 79°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on October 7, 2026?6 outcomes | 80°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Detroit on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 69°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Houston on October 7, 2026?6 outcomes | 88°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Indianapolis on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 76°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Jacksonville on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 75°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 7, 2026?6 outcomes | 82°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Las Vegas on October 7, 2026?6 outcomes | 94°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Kansas City on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 79°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Orlando on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 77°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Memphis on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 81°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Milwaukee on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 66°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Minneapolis on October 7, 2026?6 outcomes | 69°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in New Orleans on October 7, 2026?6 outcomes | 80°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on October 7, 2026?6 outcomes | 84°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Omaha on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 74°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Portland on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 73°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Philadelphia on October 7, 2026?6 outcomes | 66°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Phoenix on October 7, 2026?6 outcomes | 98°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Pittsburgh on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 67°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Raleigh on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 73°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Richmond on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 69°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Sacramento on October 7, 2026?7 outcomes | 93°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in San Diego on October 7, 2026?6 outcomes | 87°F or below | 5000¢5000% implied | $0 | Trade on Gemini |
Kalshi volume is in contracts; Gemini volume in dollars. Not financial advice. Work out the fee on a trade with the fee calculator, or browse all categories.