Live odds

Economics Prediction Markets

Fed decisions, inflation, jobs reports and GDP. Prices are the market's probability in cents.

50 markets · prices as of . Refreshes every few minutes.

MarketLeading outcomePrice24h volumeClosesTrade
US real GDP growth in 2035?14 outcomes1.6% to 2.0%1400¢1400% implied157K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2033?14 outcomes1.6% to 2.0%1400¢1400% implied157K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2036?14 outcomes1.6% to 2.0%2300¢2300% implied157K contractsTrade on Kalshi
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?By 20301600¢1600% implied130K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed decision in Dec 2027?5 outcomesFed maintains rate7500¢7500% implied127K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?25 outcomesAbove 4.00%8800¢8800% implied86K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2032?14 outcomes2.1% to 2.5%1500¢1500% implied79K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Kentucky coal production in 20276 outcomesAbove 20 million short tons8700¢8700% implied68K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2028?14 outcomes2.1% to 2.5%1200¢1200% implied44K contractsTrade on Kalshi
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?10 outcomesAt least 50 billion1200¢1200% implied42K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Timber harvested from Oregon BOF lands in FY20275 outcomesAbove 160 million board feet9600¢9600% implied40K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Recession in 2027?Yes1700¢1700% implied37K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2030?14 outcomes2.6% to 3.0%1500¢1500% implied37K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Mississippi cotton production in 20276 outcomesAbove 600,000 bales9300¢9300% implied36K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who will be the world's second trillionaire?12 outcomesMark Zuckerberg2400¢2400% implied32K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2034?14 outcomes0.0% or Below1400¢1400% implied30K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2027?14 outcomes2.1% to 2.5%1600¢1600% implied30K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2029?14 outcomes2.1% to 2.5%1800¢1800% implied27K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2031?14 outcomes0.0% or Below1400¢1400% implied24K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed funds rate at end of 202721 outcomesAbove 1.00%9800¢9800% implied22K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will Trump reduce inequality in the US?During his presidential term2600¢2600% implied17K contractsTrade on Kalshi
When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?8 outcomesBefore May 1, 20271900¢1900% implied15K contractsTrade on Kalshi
When will Oura officially announce an IPO?5 outcomesBefore Jan 1, 20289200¢9200% implied14K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US labor force participation rate at year-end 202817 outcomesAbove 56.00%9600¢9600% implied14K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US labor force participation rate at year-end 203017 outcomesAbove 56.00%9700¢9700% implied12K contractsTrade on Kalshi
How high will unemployment get before 2030?10 outcomesAbove 5%9300¢9300% implied11K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Global remittances received in 20268 outcomesAbove $800 billion9500¢9500% implied11K contractsTrade on Kalshi
When will Freddie Mac officially announce an IPO?8 outcomesBefore Jan 1, 2027700¢700% implied9K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US headline CPI inflation in December 202813 outcomesAbove 0.0%9500¢9500% implied8K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed decision in Jan 2028?5 outcomesFed maintains rate5700¢5700% implied8K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US headline CPI inflation in December 202713 outcomesAbove 0.0%9800¢9800% implied8K contractsTrade on Kalshi
When will Whoop officially announce an IPO?5 outcomesBefore Jan 1, 20282600¢2600% implied7K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US labor force participation rate at year-end 203117 outcomesAbove 56.00%8900¢8900% implied7K contractsTrade on Kalshi
S&P 2027 year end price17 outcomes7,200 or above8200¢8200% implied7K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US headline CPI inflation in December 202913 outcomesAbove 0.0%9100¢9100% implied7K contractsTrade on Kalshi
When will Airtable officially announce an IPO?4 outcomesBefore Jan 1, 20303000¢3000% implied7K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Next Fed rate hike?5 outcomesBefore 20299600¢9600% implied6K contractsTrade on Kalshi
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?13 outcomesAbove 9.50%5700¢5700% implied5K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US unemployment rate at year-end 203015 outcomesAbove 3.0%9100¢9100% implied5K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed funds rate at end of 203121 outcomesAbove 1.00%9200¢9200% implied5K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed funds rate at end of 203321 outcomesAbove 1.00%8200¢8200% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed funds rate at end of 203021 outcomesAbove 1.00%8600¢8600% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US labor force participation rate at year-end 202917 outcomesAbove 56.00%9900¢9900% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 202713 outcomesAbove 6.50%5500¢5500% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US defaults before 2029?Defaults600¢600% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed funds rate at end of 202821 outcomesAbove 1.50%8900¢8900% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Global remittances sent in 20267 outcomesAbove $500 billion8600¢8600% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US headline CPI inflation in December 203013 outcomesAbove 0.5%8600¢8600% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed funds rate at end of 202921 outcomesAbove 1.25%8600¢8600% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US headline CPI inflation in December 203113 outcomesAbove 0.0%8800¢8800% implied3K contractsTrade on Kalshi

Kalshi volume is in contracts; Gemini volume in dollars. Not financial advice. Work out the fee on a trade with the fee calculator, or browse all categories.