Large trades: Politics

Single trades of $1,000 or more on Kalshi in the last 7 days, newest first. Kalshi publishes the size and time of each trade, not who placed it.

As of . Refreshes every few minutes.

TimeMarketOutcomeSideContractsPriceNotionalTrade
What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina?Nuclear (3+ times)Yes1,80078¢$1,404Trade on Kalshi
Texas Senate winner?Ken PaxtonNo2,084.8567¢$1,397Trade on Kalshi
Michigan Senate winner?Abdul El-SayedYes5,021.4669¢$3,465Trade on Kalshi
Maine-Texas Senate ComboKen Paxton and Susan CollinsNo3,372.9376¢$2,563Trade on Kalshi
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?51No1,569.9590¢$1,413Trade on Kalshi
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?49No4,639.7994¢$4,361Trade on Kalshi
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?47No2,00096.5¢$1,930Trade on Kalshi
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?47No1,404.8596.4¢$1,354Trade on Kalshi
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23, 2026?James TalaricoYes1,41594¢$1,330Trade on Kalshi
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?50No1,347.4587¢$1,172Trade on Kalshi
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?48No3,697.4294.5¢$3,494Trade on Kalshi
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?46No4,07597.9¢$3,989Trade on Kalshi
2028 Democratic presidential nomineeJon OssoffNo1,653.0785¢$1,405Trade on Kalshi
Texas Senate winner?James TalaricoYes5,00066¢$3,300Trade on Kalshi
Which party will win the U.S. House?Republican PartyYes45,279.168.8¢$3,985Trade on Kalshi
Which party will win the U.S. House?Republican PartyYes50,0008.8¢$4,400Trade on Kalshi
Kansas Senate winner?Roger MarshallYes2,00061¢$1,220Trade on Kalshi
Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy JacksonYes2,863.8857¢$1,632Trade on Kalshi
Maine-Texas Senate ComboKen Paxton and Troy JacksonNo1,562.2490¢$1,406Trade on Kalshi
Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Susan CollinsNo2,22285¢$1,889Trade on Kalshi
Maine-Texas Senate ComboKen Paxton and Susan CollinsNo1,679.9376¢$1,277Trade on Kalshi
Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy JacksonYes2,22255¢$1,222Trade on Kalshi
Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Susan CollinsNo2,22285¢$1,889Trade on Kalshi
Maine-Texas Senate ComboKen Paxton and Susan CollinsNo2,22275¢$1,667Trade on Kalshi
Maine-Texas Senate ComboKen Paxton and Troy JacksonNo1,547.7690¢$1,393Trade on Kalshi
Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy JacksonYes2,22255¢$1,222Trade on Kalshi
Maine-Texas Senate ComboKen Paxton and Susan CollinsNo1,905.5375¢$1,429Trade on Kalshi
Maine-Texas Senate ComboKen Paxton and Troy JacksonNo1,347.2490¢$1,213Trade on Kalshi
Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Susan CollinsNo2,17385¢$1,847Trade on Kalshi
Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy JacksonYes2,17354¢$1,173Trade on Kalshi
Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy JacksonYes2,795.2656¢$1,565Trade on Kalshi
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?52Yes5,00024¢$1,200Trade on Kalshi
Texas Governor winner?Gina HinojosaYes3,379.6334¢$1,149Trade on Kalshi
Texas Governor winner?Gina HinojosaYes3,827.3234¢$1,301Trade on Kalshi
Which party will win the U.S. House?Republican PartyNo1,889.4491.2¢$1,723Trade on Kalshi
South Carolina Senate winner?Darline GrahamYes4,199.0583¢$3,485Trade on Kalshi
South Carolina Senate winner?Darline GrahamYes5,00083¢$4,150Trade on Kalshi
Iowa Senate winner?Josh TurekYes2,50043¢$1,075Trade on Kalshi
Iowa Senate winner?Josh TurekYes6,348.0443¢$2,730Trade on Kalshi
South Carolina Senate winner?Darline GrahamYes3,554.5983¢$2,950Trade on Kalshi
South Carolina Senate winner?Darline GrahamYes1,445.4183¢$1,200Trade on Kalshi
South Carolina Senate winner?Darline GrahamYes3,520.483¢$2,922Trade on Kalshi
What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina?Save America ActYes3,32597¢$3,225Trade on Kalshi
What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina?China / ChineseYes4,04095¢$3,838Trade on Kalshi
What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina?China / ChineseYes1,50094¢$1,410Trade on Kalshi
What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina?China / ChineseYes3,36794¢$3,165Trade on Kalshi
What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina?Cheat / Cheater / CheatingYes4,04095¢$3,838Trade on Kalshi
Texas Senate winner?Ken PaxtonYes6,83235¢$2,391Trade on Kalshi
Texas Senate: Exact outcomeTalarico defeats PaxtonYes2,917.1463¢$1,838Trade on Kalshi
Which party will win the U.S. House?Democratic PartyYes11,883.9291.1¢$10,826Trade on Kalshi
Which party will win the U.S. House?Republican PartyNo1,11291.1¢$1,013Trade on Kalshi
Which party will win the U.S. House?Republican PartyNo1,11291.1¢$1,013Trade on Kalshi
Brazil Presidential election winner?Flávio BolsonaroYes1,577.7579¢$1,246Trade on Kalshi
Ohio Senate winner?Jon HustedYes3,98834¢$1,356Trade on Kalshi
Texas Senate winner?Ken PaxtonYes6,83235¢$2,391Trade on Kalshi
Florida Governor winner?Byron DonaldsYes1,271.5979¢$1,005Trade on Kalshi
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?Republican PartyNo1,53666¢$1,014Trade on Kalshi
Georgia Governor winner?Rick JacksonNo62,512.655¢$34,382Trade on Kalshi
Texas Governor winner?Gina HinojosaYes11,011.4734¢$3,744Trade on Kalshi
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?52Yes8,387.5925¢$2,097Trade on Kalshi
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?52Yes9,293.1624¢$2,230Trade on Kalshi
Florida Governor winner?Byron DonaldsNo24,807.4522¢$5,458Trade on Kalshi
Texas Senate winner?Ken PaxtonNo24,53667¢$16,439Trade on Kalshi
Georgia Governor winner?Rick JacksonNo10,00054¢$5,400Trade on Kalshi
Texas Governor-Senate comboGina Hinojosa and James Talarico winYes5,993.725¢$1,498Trade on Kalshi
Texas Senate winner?Ken PaxtonNo1,948.666¢$1,286Trade on Kalshi
Texas Senate winner?Ken PaxtonNo5,00066¢$3,300Trade on Kalshi
Texas Senate winner?Ken PaxtonNo100,00066¢$66,000Trade on Kalshi
Texas Senate winner?Ken PaxtonNo55,00066¢$36,300Trade on Kalshi
Texas Senate winner?Ken PaxtonNo18,301.1466¢$12,079Trade on Kalshi
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?52Yes5,00023¢$1,150Trade on Kalshi
Ohio Governor winner?Vivek RamaswamyNo2,980.4177¢$2,295Trade on Kalshi
Ohio Governor winner?Vivek RamaswamyNo5,00077¢$3,850Trade on Kalshi
Ohio Governor winner?Vivek RamaswamyNo2,00077¢$1,540Trade on Kalshi
Ohio Governor winner?Vivek RamaswamyNo3,378.2577¢$2,601Trade on Kalshi
Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy JacksonYes3,00055¢$1,650Trade on Kalshi
Texas Governor winner?Greg AbbottYes2,156.2469¢$1,488Trade on Kalshi
2028 Democratic presidential nomineeJames TalaricoNo2,101.1697.7¢$2,053Trade on Kalshi
Ohio Governor winner?Amy ActonYes1,797.9977¢$1,384Trade on Kalshi
Texas Senate winner?Ken PaxtonNo2,399.2366¢$1,583Trade on Kalshi
Texas Governor winner?Gina HinojosaNo2,722.4969¢$1,879Trade on Kalshi
Which party will win the U.S. House?Republican PartyYes20,663.229.1¢$1,880Trade on Kalshi
Next French presidential election winner?Marine Le PenNo9,837.9248¢$4,722Trade on Kalshi
Los Angeles Mayor winner?Nithya RamanYes8,00044¢$3,520Trade on Kalshi
FL-25 House winner?Jared MoskowitzNo14,900.9111¢$1,639Trade on Kalshi
Ohio Governor winner?Amy ActonYes4,699.4477¢$3,619Trade on Kalshi
MT-01 House winner?Aaron FlintNo4,00037¢$1,480Trade on Kalshi
MO-05 House winner?Rick BrattinNo1,812.4598¢$1,776Trade on Kalshi
OH-09 House winner?Derek MerrinNo1,394.0973¢$1,018Trade on Kalshi
2028 Democratic presidential nomineeRaphael WarnockNo5,00097.7¢$4,885Trade on Kalshi
What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina?Crypto / BitcoinNo18,528.1398¢$18,158Trade on Kalshi
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?Republicans sweepYes18,3508.9¢$1,633Trade on Kalshi
Which party will win the U.S. House?Republican PartyYes41,077.059¢$3,697Trade on Kalshi
Which party will win the U.S. House?Republican PartyYes30,710.959¢$2,764Trade on Kalshi
Los Angeles Mayor winner?Karen BassYes5,00056¢$2,800Trade on Kalshi
Los Angeles Mayor winner?Karen BassYes14,483.5656¢$8,111Trade on Kalshi
Florida Governor winner?Byron DonaldsYes1,384.779¢$1,094Trade on Kalshi
Texas Governor winner?Greg AbbottNo12,50032¢$4,000Trade on Kalshi
Texas Governor winner?Greg AbbottNo12,50032¢$4,000Trade on Kalshi
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)Democrats, 6 to 8%No5,00084¢$4,200Trade on Kalshi

Notional is what the taker paid: contracts times the price of the side they took. Side is the side the taker took. A large trade is one trade, not a view on how the market will settle. Links to Kalshi are affiliate links; see our affiliate disclosure. Not financial advice. Trading involves risk.