Large trades: Economics

Single trades of $1,000 or more on Kalshi in the last 7 days, newest first. Kalshi publishes the size and time of each trade, not who placed it.

As of . Refreshes every few minutes.

TimeMarketOutcomeSideContractsPriceNotionalTrade
Connecticut gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.3700No1,05099¢$1,040Trade on Kalshi
Delaware gas prices tomorrowAbove 3.9550Yes6,00099¢$5,940Trade on Kalshi
Delaware gas prices tomorrowAbove 3.9550Yes5,00099¢$4,950Trade on Kalshi
Delaware gas prices tomorrowAbove 3.9550Yes3,158.9899¢$3,127Trade on Kalshi
Wisconsin gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1450Yes3,50099¢$3,465Trade on Kalshi
Wisconsin gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1450Yes5,00099¢$4,950Trade on Kalshi
Wisconsin gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1450Yes2,00099¢$1,980Trade on Kalshi
Ohio gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.0200Yes1,11492¢$1,025Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.2600Yes1,074.195¢$1,020Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.2550Yes1,64499¢$1,628Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.2750Yes3,24354¢$1,751Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.2750Yes2,761.855¢$1,519Trade on Kalshi
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026Above 86,000 jobsNo1,56287¢$1,359Trade on Kalshi
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026Above 86,000 jobsNo1,39187¢$1,210Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.3050Yes8,28959¢$4,891Trade on Kalshi
Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?Above 4.30No2,01485¢$1,712Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.2600Yes1,299.1892¢$1,195Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?7,765 or aboveNo1,25099¢$1,238Closed
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?7,750 or aboveYes6,017.2799¢$5,957Closed
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.2550Yes1,02898¢$1,007Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?29,860 or aboveNo2,388.1360¢$1,433Closed
Montana gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.4300Yes2,17899¢$2,156Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?7,760 or aboveNo86,37737¢$31,959Closed
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?7,760 or aboveYes2,506.7858¢$1,454Closed
North Dakota gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1150Yes1,54299¢$1,527Trade on Kalshi
North Dakota gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1200Yes1,49899¢$1,483Trade on Kalshi
North Dakota gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1200Yes3,296.1299¢$3,263Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?29,860 or aboveYes58,1388¢$4,651Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?29,790 or aboveNo6,50018¢$1,170Closed
Next Fed rate hike?Before July 2027Yes2,48993¢$2,315Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.2550Yes1,047.8698¢$1,027Trade on Kalshi
Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.4700Yes3,461.599¢$3,427Trade on Kalshi
Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.4700Yes4,65699¢$4,609Trade on Kalshi
Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.4700Yes4,04599¢$4,005Trade on Kalshi
Wisconsin gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1350Yes2,00099¢$1,980Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?7,740 or aboveYes6,00092¢$5,520Closed
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?7,750 or aboveYes6,00074¢$4,440Closed
Alabama gas prices tomorrowAbove 3.8800No3,23799¢$3,205Trade on Kalshi
Alabama gas prices tomorrowAbove 3.8800No2,13799¢$2,116Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?29,780 or aboveNo39,44245¢$17,749Closed
Fed decision in Oct 2026?Fed maintains rateNo10,00012¢$1,200Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?7,725 or aboveYes1,621.1489¢$1,443Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?29,690 or aboveNo6,50018¢$1,170Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?29,690 or aboveNo6,50020¢$1,300Closed
Fed decision in Oct 2026?Hike 25bpsNo3,97288¢$3,495Trade on Kalshi
Fed decision in Oct 2026?Hike 25bpsNo2,308.4288¢$2,031Trade on Kalshi
Fed decision in Oct 2026?Hike 25bpsNo4,691.5888¢$4,129Trade on Kalshi
Fed decision in Oct 2026?Hike 25bpsNo1,17588¢$1,034Trade on Kalshi
Fed decision in Oct 2026?Fed maintains rateYes18,356.789¢$16,337Trade on Kalshi
Fed decision in Oct 2026?Fed maintains rateYes1,743.388¢$1,534Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?7,755 or aboveYes38,84121¢$8,157Closed
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?7,710 or aboveYes1,77297¢$1,719Closed
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?7,740 or aboveNo4,738.8531¢$1,469Closed
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?7,760 or aboveNo8,596.0780¢$6,877Closed
Fed decision in Oct 2026?Fed maintains rateYes5,90088¢$5,192Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT?7,760 or aboveYes33,39910¢$3,340Closed
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT?7,760 or aboveNo6,00085¢$5,100Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT?29,860 or aboveNo38,05369¢$26,257Closed
Fed decision in Oct 2026?Hike 25bpsNo4,869.4288¢$4,285Trade on Kalshi
Fed decision in Oct 2026?Hike 25bpsNo16,067.5888¢$14,139Trade on Kalshi
Fed decision in Oct 2026?Fed maintains rateYes3,908.1688¢$3,439Trade on Kalshi
Fed decision in Oct 2026?Fed maintains rateYes5,875.5588¢$5,170Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?29,750 or aboveNo40,1784¢$1,607Closed
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?7,765 or aboveYes44,66839¢$17,421Closed
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT?7,770 or aboveNo39,802.3487¢$34,628Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT?29,890 or aboveYes38,16447¢$17,937Closed
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.2550Yes3,52297¢$3,416Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.2550Yes4,64097¢$4,501Trade on Kalshi
Nebraska gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.3300Yes3,327.1899¢$3,294Trade on Kalshi
Nebraska gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.3300Yes1,51499¢$1,499Trade on Kalshi
Maryland gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.0850No3,23799¢$3,205Trade on Kalshi
Maryland gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.0850No2,13799¢$2,116Trade on Kalshi
Maine gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.3100Yes3,133.3499¢$3,102Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT?7,770 or aboveYes39,79448¢$19,101Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT?29,790 or aboveYes4,92199¢$4,872Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT?29,950 or aboveNo5,00299¢$4,952Closed
Michigan gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.4450Yes4,66899¢$4,621Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT?7,760 or aboveYes1,629.283¢$1,352Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT?29,890 or aboveNo38,02171¢$26,995Closed
Diesel prices in Oct 2026Above $6.70No1,111.2599¢$1,100Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.2500Yes1,53799¢$1,522Trade on Kalshi
Florida gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.0300Yes2,00099¢$1,980Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 21, 2026 at 2pm EDT?29,870 or aboveYes2,090.8590¢$1,882Closed
Louisiana gas prices tomorrowAbove 3.8250Yes2,30099¢$2,277Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 2pm EDT?7,765 or aboveYes38,29788¢$33,701Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 21, 2026 at 2pm EDT?29,900 or aboveNo2,78398¢$2,727Closed
Georgia gas prices tomorrowAbove 3.7350No1,43899¢$1,424Trade on Kalshi
Georgia gas prices tomorrowAbove 3.7300No2,67699¢$2,649Trade on Kalshi
Georgia gas prices tomorrowAbove 3.7300No3,09899¢$3,067Trade on Kalshi
Georgia gas prices tomorrowAbove 3.7300No3,304.1299¢$3,271Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 2pm EDT?7,765 or aboveYes2,669.7580¢$2,136Closed
US gas prices this weekAbove 4.3000No1,02898¢$1,007Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices this weekAbove 4.3200No1,02398¢$1,003Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices this weekAbove 4.3400No1,02899¢$1,018Trade on Kalshi
Arkansas gas prices tomorrowAbove 3.9050No2,00099¢$1,980Trade on Kalshi
Arkansas gas prices tomorrowAbove 3.9050No4,84499¢$4,796Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 21, 2026 at 2pm EDT?29,890 or aboveNo38,05573¢$27,780Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT?29,920 or aboveNo38,09577¢$29,333Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?29,960 or aboveNo39,84584¢$33,470Closed
S&P price on Oct 21, 2026 at 2pm EDT?7,765 or aboveYes38,17148¢$18,322Closed

Notional is what the taker paid: contracts times the price of the side they took. Side is the side the taker took. A large trade is one trade, not a view on how the market will settle. Links to Kalshi are affiliate links; see our affiliate disclosure. Not financial advice. Trading involves risk.