Weather and crypto markets where the market price is furthest from our reference probability, a number computed from the National Weather Service forecast or the Coinbase price. One contract per market, largest gap first. A gap is a difference between two estimates, not a recommendation: the reference can be the one that is wrong.
Prices as of . Refreshes every few minutes.
No weather or crypto market above the volume floor has a current reference probability right now.
Market prices are the last traded price, else the bid/ask midpoint. The gap is the reference probability minus the price, in points. Contracts closing within 2 hours, and settlement days whose high has already been observed, are left out. Only contracts with at least 5,000 contracts (Kalshi) or $5,000 (Gemini) traded in 24 hours are listed. How the reference is calculated: weather, crypto. Not financial advice.