Close Call Prediction Markets: Priced 40 to 60%

Markets where traders are close to evenly split: a yes/no market priced between 40¢ and 60¢, or an event whose leading outcome is. Closest to 50¢ first.

Prices as of . Refreshes every few minutes.

MarketLeading outcomePrice24h volumeClosesTrade
Oscar Winner: Best Picture41 outcomesThe Odyssey48¢48% implied235K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland : Game 42 outcomesTampa Bay52¢52% implied$23KTrade on Gemini
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland : Game 4: Total Runs10 outcomesMore than 6.5 runs scored53¢53% implied$11KTrade on Gemini
2028 Republican presidential nominee43 outcomesJ.D. Vance43¢43% implied37K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Houston vs Jacksonville2 outcomesJacksonville57¢57% implied$7KTrade on Gemini
Ohio State vs Indiana2 outcomesOhio State59¢59% implied$9KTrade on Gemini
Oscar Winner: Best Actor25 outcomesJohn Malkovich40¢40% implied7K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Ohio State vs Indiana: Point Spread29 outcomesOhio State wins by more than 1.5 points60¢60% implied$5KTrade on Gemini

Prices are the last traded price, else the bid/ask midpoint. Kalshi volume is in contracts; Gemini volume in dollars, for the whole event. Only markets with at least 5,000 contracts (Kalshi) or $5,000 (Gemini) traded in 24 hours are listed. Not financial advice. See our methodology.