Polymarket lets you buy and sell shares in the outcomes of future events. If you think something will happen, you buy "Yes" shares. If you think it won't, you buy "No" shares. Each share pays out $1.00 if you're right, and $0 if you're wrong.
The price of a share reflects the crowd's estimated probability. A "Yes" share at 70¢ means the market thinks there's a 70% chance it happens. If you think the true probability is higher, buying is a smart trade.
Polymarket is built on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC (a stablecoin pegged to the US dollar) for all transactions. Don't worry if that sounds complicated — we'll walk through setup step by step.